how to reduce domestic violence?

Card and Dahl (2010)

Family Violence and Football: The Effect of Unexpected Emotional Cues on Violent Behavior

Abstract:

We study the link between family violence and the emotional cues associated with wins

and losses by local professional football teams. We hypothesize that the risk of violence

is affected by the ‘gain-loss’ utility of game outcomes around a rationally expected

reference point. Our empirical analysis uses police reports of violent incidents on

Sundays during the professional football season. Controlling for the pre-game point

spread and the size of the local viewing audience, we find that upset losses (defeats when

the home team was predicted to win by 4 or more points) lead to a 10 percent increase in

the rate of at-home violence by men against their wives and girlfriends. In contrast,

losses when the game was expected to be close have small and insignificant effects.

Upset wins (when the home team was predicted to lose) also have little impact on

violence, consistent with asymmetry in the gain-loss utility function. The rise in violence

after an upset loss is concentrated in a narrow time window near the end of the game,

and is larger for more important games. We find no evidence for reference point

updating based on the halftime score.

いやこれはさすがに読んでいてふいた。

日本だと，阪神・中日あたりが危ないか。浦和レッズもやばいかもしれないw

ということは，DVの発生を防止するためには，アウェーの弱いチームは，ホームの強いチームと戦うときに，まかり間違っても，必死で戦って下剋上を起こすようなことはしちゃならん，ってことだね。無駄な抵抗はせずにおとなしく負けて帰れ，と。（ぇ